Total return to shareholders target setting

ABSTRACT

The performance management system and method enable users to set performance targets and analyze performance measures for a company based on financial information. The system displays three template areas respectively containing historical financial data for a first time period, predicted financial data for a second time period, and financial performance measurement changes from the first time period to the second time period, where financial performance measures are displayed for each of the time periods. The second template area receives target input variables that include target NOPAT growth, target TRS, and target dividends per share. The system and method enable the recursive adjustment of at least one of the target input variables for a future time period until a percentage change in the target TRS displayed in the second template area is equal to a user selectable target TRS value.

CROSS-REFERENCE

This application is a Divisional application of U.S. application Ser.No. 11/072,566 filed Mar. 2, 2005, which claims the benefit of thefiling date under 35 U.S.C. §119(e) of Provisional U.S. PatentApplication Ser. No. 60/549,619, filed Mar. 2, 2004, which are bothhereby incorporated by reference. This application is related to U.S.Pat. No. 7,349,877 issued on Mar. 25, 2008, U.S. Pat. No. 7,398,240issued on Jul. 8, 2008, U.S. Pat. No. 7,778,910 issued on Aug. 17, 2010,U.S. application Ser. No. 11/072,565 filed Mar. 2, 2005, and U.S.application Ser. No. 11/072,567 filed Mar. 2, 2005.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

1. Copyright Notice

A portion of the disclosure of this patent document contains materialwhich is subject to copyright protection. The copyright owner has noobjection to the facsimile reproduction by anyone of the patent documentor the patent disclosure, as it appears in the Patent and TrademarkOffice patent file or records, but otherwise reserves all copyrightrights whatsoever. The following notice applies to any software and dataas described below and in the drawings hereto: Copyright© 2005,Accenture, All Rights Reserved.

2. Technical Field

The present invention relates generally to business performancemanagement, and more particularly to a system and method for evaluatinga company's performance based on the decomposition and mapping of totalreturn to shareholders.

3. Background

Business performance management (BPM), also known as Enterpriseperformance management (EPM), relates to the execution and monitoring ofthe performance of various components of a company's business. BPM,sometimes referred to as the next generation of business intelligence(BI), focuses on business processes such as planning and forecasting andhelps businesses discover efficient use of their business units,financial, human, and material resources. Typically, BPM systemsconsolidate data from various sources, and provide functions forquerying and analyzing the data and putting the results into practice.

BPM enhances business processes by creating better feedback loops thatallow for the continuous, real-time review of information to helpidentify and eliminate problems before they grow. For example,forecasting capabilities may help the company take corrective action intime to meet earnings projections. BPM may also be useful in riskanalysis and predicting outcomes of merger and acquisition scenarios, aswell as planning to overcome potential problems.

BPM provides key performance indicators (KPI), or performance metrics,that help companies monitor efficiency of projects and employees againstoperational targets. These metrics/KPI may be used to assess the presentstate of the business and to prescribe a course of action. For example,BPM systems have been used to analyze: New customers acquired; Status ofexisting customers; Attrition of customers; Turnover generated bysegments of the Customers; Outstanding balances held by segments ofcustomers and terms of payment; Collection of bad debts within customerrelationships; Demographic analysis of individuals (potential customers)applying to become customers, and the levels of approval, rejections andpending numbers; Delinquency analysis of customers behind on payments;and Profitability of customers by demographic segments and segmentationof customers by profitability. Regardless of the type of analysis a BPMsystem may be used for, BPM systems must acquire metric/KPI that isconsistent, correct, and timely available.

Despite the great benefits many BPM systems provide, these systems areonly as powerful as the metrics/KPI used to benchmark businessperformance. Unfortunately, there is a disconnect in traditional BPMsystems between the financial performance metrics companies use inanalyzing business performance and the ability to create and sustainhigh performance results in their execution over time. This disconnectarises because most companies take an internal approach to evaluatingtheir business performance using performance metrics such as Earningsper Share (EPS), Return on Net Assets (RONA), Earnings Before Interest,Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA), Return on InvestmentCapital (ROIC), Economic Value Added (EVA), Cash Flow Return onInvestment (CFROI), and the like. These metrics neglect the true driversof sustainable shareholder value and instead only determine theoperating performance for the current operating year. Essentially, thesemetrics only provide analysis of a company's current value, or thepresent value of the uniform perpetual earnings on assets currently heldby the company.

This disconnect becomes even more apparent when analyzing companies suchas biotech companies with a high percentage of future value, or thepresent value of company opportunities for investments in real assetsthat will yield more than the normal market rate of return. For example,traditional value management focuses on Net Operating Profit LessAdjusted Taxes (NOPLAT) as the only source of “Return” on InvestedCapital. Because high future value firms have little or no NOPLAT, thereis no accounting for the value created by these types of companies.

Companies attempt to solve this disconnect through the implementation ofmajor new transactional systems or point solutions to specific problems,such as ERP systems and data warehouses. Although these solutions aregood at tracking transactional data, they do not help a company plan forwhat may occur and track the key drivers to enable decision making.Point solutions are band-aides that don't address the real problem ofproactively managing those aspects of business performance thatcontribute to sustainable shareholder value.

Other companies address the current problems with BPM by implementing aBalanced Scorecard or Executive Dashboard. Exemplary scorecards anddashboards include the Cognos® Metrics Manager and Cognos® Visualizer,provided by Cognos, Inc. of Ottawa, Canada, and the Hyperion PerformanceScorecard, provided by Hyperion Solutions Corporation of Sunnyvale,Calif. These solutions attempt to capture the financial andnon-financial drivers of value for the company. These solutionstypically provide results that are useful and insightful. However, thesesolutions may not be integrated into the remaining BPM systems utilizedby the company, and may not incorporate metrics reflective of the truedrivers of shareholder values.

Accordingly, there is a need for software tools and informationtechnology solutions to create an integrated capability to drive BPMstrategy and value creation that accurately measures the key drivers ofboth current and future value from an external perspective as well asdetail how these drivers interrelate.

SUMMARY

In one embodiment, a computer-implemented method for predictingfinancial performance measures of a company includes displaying on acomputer user interface a financial performance template for displayingactual performance measures for a first time period, predictedperformance measures for a second time period and a change inperformance measures from the first time period to the second timeperiod. The displayed financial performance measures include NOPAT,Capital, WACC, EP, Current Value (CV), Future Value (FV), EnterpriseValue (EV), Market Value of Equity, Market Value of Debt, number ofcompany shares, and share price. The computer receives the values forthe first time period for the actual performance measures of NOPAT,Capital, WACC, EP, Market Value of Equity, Market Value of Debt, andeither number of company shares or share price, and then calculates forthe first time period the Enterprise Value, the Current Value and theFuture Value based on the received performance measures. The computeralso receives the values for the second time period for the targetperformance measures of Target TRS, Target Dividend per Share and TargetNOPAT Growth and calculates for the second time period the predictedfinancial performance values based on the received actual performancemeasures and the target performance measures. The computer calculatesand displays the change in the performance measures from the firstperiod to the second period. Company business goals may be establishedbased on predicted financial performance measures calculated for areceived target performance measure.

In another embodiment, a computer-implemented method for analyzingfinancial performance measures of a company includes receiving into acomputer historical financial data of a company for at least a firsttime period and a second time period, the first time period precedingthe second time period; receiving target input variables for targetedchanges from the first time period to the second time period, the targetinput variables comprising target NOPAT growth, and target Return toShareholders; calculating with the computer the actual performancechange from the first period to the second period; calculating with thecomputer the predicted financial data for the second period based on thetarget input variables applied to the historical financial data for thefirst period; comparing the predicted financial data of the secondperiod with the historical financial data for the second period todetermine a performance variance; and adjusting target input variablesfor a future time period based on the determined performance variance.

Optionally, the predicted financial performance or the determinedperformance variance may be used to establish an investment in a driverof a revenue component that defines an expected dollar amount of futuresales, a costs component that defines an expected dollar amount offuture costs, or a capital component that defines an expected futurecapital structure of the company to obtain the desired operationalperformance of the component to result in the predicted return toshareholders.

These and other embodiments and aspects of the invention are describedwith reference to the noted Figures and the below detailed descriptionof the preferred embodiments.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1A is a diagram representative of an exemplary system forimplementing one embodiment;

FIG. 1B is a diagram representative of an exemplary architecture for aBPM system;

FIG. 2 is a diagram representative of an exemplary EPM technicalarchitecture for implementing one embodiment;

FIG. 3 is a diagram representative of an exemplary framework fordelivering an integrated BPM system;

FIG. 4A is a diagram representative of one embodiment of a Total Returnto Shareholder (TRS) map depicting exemplary interrelations betweeninternal and external business metrics;

FIG. 4B is a diagram representative of a second embodiment of a TRS mapdepicting exemplary interrelations between internal and externalbusiness metrics;

FIG. 4C is a diagram representative of a third embodiment of a TRS mapdepicting exemplary interrelations between internal and externalbusiness metrics;

FIG. 5A is a diagram representative of a computer display of a firstpart of an exemplary calculation worksheet;

FIGS. 5B and 5C are diagrams representative of a computer display ofsecond part of an exemplary calculation of Total Economic Profit (TEP);

FIG. 6 is a diagram representative of an TRS calculation using the TEPperformance metric;

FIG. 7 is an exemplary hierarchical representation of company assetsthat drive the Future Value (FV) of a company;

FIG. 8 is an exemplary graph of FV return on investment ratios; and

FIGS. 9A-9C illustrate a TRS target setting displayed template for usein planning predicted shareholder return and earnings growth;

DETAILED DESCRIPTION

Referring now to the drawings, and initially to FIG. 1, an exemplarysystem for implementing the invention includes a general purposecomputing device in the form of a computing environment 20, including aprocessing unit 32, a system memory 22, and a system bus 38, thatcouples various system components including the system memory 22 to theprocessing unit 32. The processing unit 32 may perform arithmetic, logicand/or control operations by accessing system memory 22. The systemmemory 22 may store information and/or instructions for use incombination with processing unit 32. The system memory 22 may includevolatile and non-volatile memory, such as random access memory (RAM) 24and read only memory (ROM) 30. A basic input/output system (BIOS)containing the basic routines that helps to transfer information betweenelements within the computer environment 20, such as during start-up,may be stored in ROM 30. The system bus 38 may be any of several typesof bus structures including a memory bus or memory controller, aperipheral bus, and a local bus using any of a variety of busarchitectures.

The computing environment 20 may further include a hard disk drive 42for reading from and writing to a hard disk (not shown), and an externaldisk drive 46 for reading from or writing to a removable external disk48. The removable disk may be a magnetic disk for a magnetic disk driveror an optical disk such as a CD ROM for an optical disk drive. The harddisk drive 42 and external disk drive 46 are connected to the system bus38 by a hard disk drive interface 40 and an external disk driveinterface 44, respectively. The drives and their associatedcomputer-readable media provide nonvolatile storage of computer readableinstructions, data structures, program modules and other data for thecomputing environment 20. Although the exemplary environment describedherein employs a hard disk and an external disk 48, it should beappreciated by those skilled in the art that other types of computerreadable media which can store data that is accessible by a computer,such as magnetic cassettes, flash memory cards, random access memories,read only memories, and the like, may also be used in the exemplaryoperating environment.

A number of program modules may be stored on the hard disk, externaldisk 48, ROM 30 or RAM 24, including an operating system (not shown),one or more application programs 26, other program modules (not shown),and program data 28. One such application program may include thefunctionality as detailed below.

A user may enter commands and/or information, as discussed below, intothe computing environment 20 through input devices such as mouse 56 andkeyboard 58. Other input devices (not shown) may include a microphone(or other sensors), joystick, game pad, scanner, or the like. These andother input devices may be connected to the processing unit 32 through aserial port interface 54 that is coupled to the system bus 38, or may becollected by other interfaces, such as a parallel port interface 50,game port or a universal serial bus (USB). Further, information may beprinted using printer 52. The printer 52, and other parallelinput/output devices, may be connected to the processing unit 32 throughparallel port interface 50. A monitor 36, or other type of displaydevice, is also connected to the system bus 38 via an interface, such asa video input/output 34. In addition to the monitor 36, computingenvironment 20 may include other peripheral output devices (not shown),such as speakers or other audible output.

The computing environment 20 may communicate with other electronicdevices such as remote computer 68. Remote computer 68 may be anothercomputing environment such as a server, router, network PC, peer device,telephone (wired or wireless), personal digital assistant, television,or the like. Remote computer 68 may include many or all of the elementsdescribed above relative to the computing environment 20. In oneembodiment, the remote computer 68 is a server coupled with a databaseof historical financial data for a plurality of companies. Herein, thephrase “coupled with” is defined to mean directly connected to orindirectly connected with through one or more intermediate components.Such intermediate components may include both hardware and softwarebased components. Alternatively, or in addition, the remote computer mayinclude accounting and/or financial software for maintaining a company'sinternal recording keeping.

To communicate, the computer environment 20 may operate in a networkedenvironment using connections (wired, wireless or both wired andwireless) to one or more electronic devices. FIG. 1 depicts the computerenvironment networked with remote computer 68 and with information hub150 of a distributed computer system for business performancemanagement, as shown in FIG. 1B. The logical connections depicted inFIG. 1 include a local area network (LAN) 64 and a wide area network(WAN) 66. Such networking environments are commonplace in offices,enterprise-wide computer networks, intranets and the Internet.

When used in a LAN networking environment, the computing environment 20may be connected to the LAN 64 through a network I/O 62. When used in aWAN networking environment, the computing environment 20 may include amodem 60 or other means for establishing communications over the WAN 66.The modem 60, which may be internal or external to computing environment20, is connected to the system bus 38 via the serial port interface 54.In a networked environment, program modules depicted relative to thecomputing environment 20, or portions thereof, may be stored in a remotememory storage device resident on or accessible to remote computer 68.It will be appreciated that the network connections shown are exemplaryand other means of establishing a communications link between theelectronic devices may be used.

The new business performance management system and method is typicallyprovided as software running on the processing unit 32, resident in thecomputer-readable medium of the storage device 42, to allow theprocessing unit 32 to provide the functionalities described herein. Asdescribed below, the software may be provided as a spreadsheet, forexample as implemented on a spreadsheet program such as Microsoft Excel,however one skilled in the art would realize that the software may beprovided as a stand-alone software program (i.e., implemented in anysuitable programming language) operating on the processing unit 32 orany operating system provided therewith, and need not utilize anyadditional software operating on the system. Alternatively, or inaddition, the functionalities may be provided as a combination ofsoftware and one or more ASICs to provide the functionalities discussedherein.

In further embodiments, as described below, the functionalities may alsobe provided as a web-based application running on a browser andaccessible via the Internet or other communications network.Alternatively, the functionalities disclosed herein may be incorporatedinto an Executive Dashboard, described above. In yet another embodiment,the functionalities disclosed herein may be provided as a benchmarkingservice that analyzes historical data for a plurality of companies. Thehistorical data may reside in a remote database, or may be internal tothe benchmarking service. The benchmarking service may provide industryspecific data and comparative benchmarks for particular industries, orprovide general benchmarks that span multiple industries. In oneembodiment, the functionalities are embedded into the architecture of aBPM management system via an information hub 150.

An exemplary BPM architecture 100 is shown in FIG. 1B. The architecture100 may include various source systems 102, reference data 110,applications 120, and reporting and analysis tools 130 integrated by aninformation hub 150 that may provide support for collaboration ofbusiness units, workflow process management, security, and systemadministration. The source systems 100 may capture information about thecompany from various data sources 104 via various methods 106. Exemplarydata sources 104 may include Enterprise Resource Planning systems (ERP),which are integrated information system that uses packaged software toserve any or all departments within an enterprise. For example, ERPsystems may provide software for manufacturing, order entry, accountsreceivable and payable, general ledger, purchasing, warehousing,transportation and human resources departments. Additional exemplarydata sources 104 may include legacy systems as well as non-financial andexternal sources of data, and the like. Exemplary methods 104 formanaging data from the data sources 104 may include Extraction,Transformation and Loading (ETL), which may be used copy data betweendatabases of different types, Enterprise Application Integration (EAI),which may be used to integrate applications within the company,Enterprise Intelligence Integration (EII, also known as EnterpriseInformation Integration), which may aggregate disparate sources 104 ofbusiness information into a single analyzable body of information, andthe like.

The architecture 100 may also include reference data 110 that may definevarious definitions, standards, and the like. For example, the companymay reference certain KPI definitions 112, reporting hierarchies 114,data standards 116, and code of authorities 118. Applications 120 mayalso be included to provide strategic analysis in areas such asplanning/modeling 122, budgeting/forecasting 124, consolidations 126,and dimensional profitability/ABC 128. Finally, reporting and analysistools 130 may also be provided to present the analytical results tobusiness managers via useful reports, visualizations, and the like.Traditional BPM systems may provide, for example, reporting tools forexternal reporting 132, internal reporting 134, and standard reporting136. Additionally, or alternatively, tools may be provided for ad hocdatabase querying 138, such as OnLine Analytical Processing (OLAP)software that allows the user to quickly analyze information that hasbeen summarized into multidimensional views and hierarchies, executivescoreboards or dashboards 140, data mining tools 142, and the like. Itshould be apparent to one of ordinary skill in the art, that the sourcesystems 100, reference data 110, applications 120, reporting andanalysis tools 140, and information hub 150 capabilities necessary for aparticular company may be implementation dependent, and that exactcombination of tools provided may vary greatly without departing fromthe spirit and scope of the present invention.

Referring to FIG. 2, an exemplary framework 200 for delivering anintegrated BPM system is shown. The framework 200 defines a process todrive strategy through to execution, with results informing periodicadjustments to both long and short term business tactics. The frameworkincludes strategic planning 210, creating a business plan and targetsetting 220, managing operations 230, monitoring results 240, andenablers 250. The framework 200 also allows each of these areas to adapt260 as results indicate. Exemplary strategic planning 210 tasks includeenvironmental assessment, competitor assessment, analysis of businessopportunities and key capabilities, and long-range financial planning.Exemplary tasks associated with business planning and targeted setting220 include establishing a direction for products and services,determining the required capabilities, key initiatives, and determiningrevenue, cost and capital projections as well as budget and operationaltargets. Exemplary operational 230 tasks include setting operationaltargets, and managing initiatives, revenues, costs and capital.Exemplary monitoring 240 tasks include analyzing the prior period,forecasting, operational analysis, and dimensional analysis. Exemplaryenablers 250 include employee incentives and rewards, and companypolicies and procedures.

Referring to FIG. 3, an exemplary methodology for implementing the BPMframework of FIG. 2 is shown. As described above, current methodologiesfocus exclusively on internal performance metrics and current yearperformance. When utilizing the functionality described below, however,the framework 300 provides a holistic approach to BPM that allows acompany to manage business performance across various aspects of itsoperations and at different levels. For example, a company may want tomanage the performance of their business as it effects the company'scurrent value 370, future value 372, financing 374 or TRS value 376,described in more detail below. Alternatively or additionally, thecompany may wish to see its performance across any of these areas inabsolute or relative terms 378, such as raw number analysis, marketindices or peer group assessments, respectively. The framework 300represents the continuous process of strategic planning 310, targetsetting and business plan development 320, operating 330, and monitoringperformance 340 as supported by various enablers 350. An exemplarymethodology for strategic planning 310 includes refining corporatevision and strategic objectives 312, determining key value drivers 314,and determining key measures of success 316 activities. Thefunctionalities disclosed herein may find particular use in thestrategic planning 310 phase when refining the corporate vision andstrategic objectives 312, for example, when analyzing investorexpectations, key competitor information and current and future businessperformance. Similarly, the functionalities disclosed herein may be usedto determine the key value drivers 314, for example, by providing amapping of the value drivers to various performance metrics, and fordetermining the key measures of success 316, for example, by aligningthose measures with shareholder value creation to create cause andeffect maps.

An exemplary methodology for target setting and business plandevelopment 320 includes portfolio value assessment 322, set targets forkey measures of accountability 324, and cascade targets to lower levelmetrics/organization 326 activities. As described in more detail below,the functionalities disclosed herein may find particular use in settingtargets for key measures of accountability 324, for example, by aligningtop down targets with shareholder expectations and ensuring theconsistency of external and internal targets. Similarly, thefunctionalities disclosed herein are ideally suited to cascade thetargets to lower level metrics 326.

Exemplary methodology activities for operations 330 include developingplans to achieve the specified targets 332, allocating resources (interms of both capital and man-power) to achieve all business plans 334,and reviewing, challenging, and finalizing plans and forecasts 336. Thefunctionalities disclosed herein facilitate each of these activities332, 334, and 336 by providing a clear mapping of target values tobusiness and operational drivers to enable bottom-up resource allocationin line with the established target values.

An exemplary methodology for monitoring performance 340 includesactivities for closing and consolidating books and reporting actuals342, monitoring key measures of business performance 344, reviewingperformance with executive management 346, and developing action plans,re-allocating resources and updating forecasts. The functionalitiesdisclosed herein facilitate performance monitoring 340 by providing aconsistent system for measuring the performance of the company and asimple user interface to determine exceptions and root causes of poorperformance. Coupling these functionalities with a balanced scorecard orexecutive dashboard, as mentioned above, further enhance theseadvantages.

Finally, exemplary methodology activities for enablers 350 includeestablishing, analyzing, and adapting employee incentive and rewardsprograms 352 and policies and procedures 354, and providing anintegrated IT architecture 356, such as the architecture describe abovein reference to FIG. 1B, or other software solution projects thatutilizes an effective set of common data structures 358 and controls360.

In order to overcome the disadvantages of the prior art BPM systems, thefinancial performance metrics used to analyze a company's businessperformance should take an external view of the company's current andfuture value. One such external performance metric is the Total Returnto Shareholders (TRS), and is defined as the company's equity plus anydividends paid on the stock. TRS can be calculated for a givenshareholder by adding dividends to any stock price appreciation anddividing the resultant value by the shareholder's original investment.Coupling the external metric TRS with internal metrics of performanceallows the company to see exactly what drives shareholder value.

FIG. 4A shows an exemplary flowchart detailing the coupling of TRS withinternal performance metrics and the interrelationships therein, alsoknown as a TRS map 400. As described above, TRS 402 includes dividends404 paid on the stock as well as the company's market value of equity orMVE 406. MVE 406 can be calculated by shares outstanding times shareprice. A company's debt 408 to equity structure influences its WeightedAverage Cost of Capital 410 (WACC). The total market value of thecompany (MV) may be defined as the MVE 406 plus the market value of thedebt 408.

Enterprise Value (EV) 412 (EV=MV less excess cash, 411) can bedecomposed into Current Value 414 (CV) and Future Value 416 (FV). The CV414 represents the current value of the company. The CV 414 isinfluenced by the company's Net Operating Profits Less Adjusted Taxes418 (NOPLAT), capital 420, and WACC 410, and can be calculated bydividing the NOPLAT 418 by the WACC 410 (which is also equal to Capital420+EP/WACC 410), such that CV 414=NOPLAT 418/WACC 410=Capital420+EP/WACC 410. The FV 416 represents the future value of the company,or the difference between the EV 412 and the CV 414. The FV 416 isinfluenced by capital 420 and the WACC 410, and can be calculated bysubtracting the CV 414 from the EV 412, such that FV=EV−CV. As furtherdetail in FIG. 4A, the capital 420 includes both balance sheet 424 andoff-balance sheet 426 components. Additionally, income 422 may influencecapital 420 as well as the NOPLAT 418.

The data underpinning these performance metrics also have an effect onthe cash flow 434 of the company. Cash flow 434 is determined by theinvestments 428 made in the company, any financing arrangements 430, aswell as operations 432 results. The operations 432 results areinfluenced by the NOPLAT 418 and the capital 420. Financing arrangements430 influence the equity 406 of the company, its debt 408, and theability of the company to pay dividends 404. This may affect thedecision of investors to make an investment 428 in the company, whichmay affect the NOPLAT 418, capital 420 and Mergers and Acquisitions 436(M & A) of the company.

FIG. 4B depicts an alternative embodiment of the TRS map 400. In theembodiment of FIG. 4B, the FV 416 may be further broken down intocomponent parts via a variety of methods, each of which attempt todefine the true drivers of FV 416. For example, one may use an FVpremium 440 methodology to determine a company's FV 416 growth relativeto the growth of the economy (segment or index) generally. In oneembodiment, the FV premium methodology 440 may decompose the FV 416value into three components: a first component that represents anoperating advantage/disadvantage for the company; a second componentthat defines a projected rate of growth for the economy in general; anda third component that defines the remainder of FV 416 in the company.

In the FV premium methodology 440, the first component may represent anoperating advantage/disadvantage for the company. This component maydefine whether the company is creating or destroying value in thecurrent period, and may be calculated, for example, by calculating acompany's economic profit (EP) capitalized (EP/WACC). As described inmore detail below, EP may be calculated as a company's NOPLAT less acapital charge for the company, where the capital charge may be definedas a company's invested capital times a WACC for the company, such thatEP=NOPLAT−(Invested Capital*WACC). If this value is negative, thecompany is operating at a disadvantage and is destroying the value ofcapital entrusted to the company. If this value is positive, the companyis operating at an advantage and has generated a premium over the valueof capital that is embedded in the company's CV 414. This firstcomponent thus defines the portion of FV 416 explained by investor'sexpected improvement to breakeven EP.

The second component of the FV premium methodology 440 may define animplied growth of the economy in general. It should be apparent to oneof ordinary skill in the art that this component may also define animplied growth rate for a particular market, market segment, industry,peer group, and the like. Additionally, this component may be determinedusing a variety of methods, each of which may be dependent on themarket, market segment, etc. being analyzed. In one embodiment, thesecond component may represent an implied growth in the economy asdetermined by a terminal value calculation based on the US GrossDomestic Product (GDP). Typically, the terminal value of a perpetuallygrowing firm may be defined as the Free Cash Flow of a company for thenext period divided by WACC minus a terminal growth rate, orFCF_(t+1)/(WACC−g). By substituting a breakeven NOPLAT value, or thepoint at which zero EP is being generated, for the Free Cash Flow of thecompany (FTF_(t+1)) and the historical growth rate of the US GDP for theterminal growth rate (g), one can determine that portion of a company'sFV 416 implied by the growth rate of the economy. In one embodiment, thebreakeven NOPLAT may be defined as a company's invested capital timesWACC, such that the portion of a company's FV 416 attributable to theimplied growth of the economy may be calculated by the followingequation: (Invested Capital*WACC)/(WACC−g). An exemplary growth rate forthe US GDP is 3.41%, adjusted for inflation.

The third component, or the FV premium component, of the FV premiummethodology 440 includes the remainder of any FV 416 not explained bythe first two components, or the FV 416 of the company minus thatportion of FV 416 explained by the implied growth of economy minus anyFV 416 explained by an operating disadvantage. For companies operatingat an advantage, the FV premium component may be defined as the FV 416of the company minus that portion of FV 416 explained by the impliedgrowth of economy. A positive FV premium component indicates that thecompany is outperforming the economy, market sector, industry, or thelike, while a negative FV premium component indicates a growth ratebelow what is to be expected.

Alternatively, or additionally, other methodologies may be used tofurther analyze the FV 416 of a company. In one embodiment, a SEER™methodology 442 provided by Asset Economics, Inc. of New York, N.Y. isused to define the drivers of FV 416. The SEER™ methodology is asophisticated holistic methodology that breaks down stakeholder valueperceptions into measurable attributes, such as user growth, customersatisfaction, current system capacity, innovativeness, potential usersize, and the like. Next, these attributes may be linked to theresources controlled by company management. Exemplary resources includemonetary, physical, relational, organizational or human resources. Inone embodiment, the SEER™ methodology may provide a framework thatoffers comparable consideration to all resource forms, regardless oftheir type.

In another embodiment, an asset methodology 444 is used to break down FV416 by each company asset that drives FV 416. Referring to FIG. 7, ahierarchical relationship 700 of exemplary assets that drive variousperformance metrics described above, including FV 416, is shown. Thehierarchy begins with TRS 702, which includes TEP 704 and CapitalStructure and Debt 706 components. The TEP 704 component includes bothan EP 708 sub-component and a FV of EP 710 sub-component to accuratelyreflect both the current and future value of the company. The EPsub-component is driven by revenue 712, costs 716, and operating capital720 sub-components. Exemplary revenue drivers 714 include revenuevolume, price and product mix components. Exemplary cost drivers 718include sales force productivity, direct manufacturing cost efficiencyand back office efficiency. Exemplary operating capital drivers 722include working capital and fixed capital.

Similarly, the FV of EP 710 sub-component is driven by incrementalrevenue 724, incremental costs 728, and future invested capital 732sub-components. Exemplary incremental revenue drivers 726 includevolume, price, product mix, customer retention, brand equity and thebreadth/depth of the company's product portfolio. Exemplary incrementalcosts drivers 730 include advertising, training costs, and managementtalent considerations. Exemplary future invested capital drivers 734include intellectual capital, technology investments, and capitalflexibility.

The capital structure and dividends 706 component includes capitalstructure 736 and dividends 740 components. Exemplary capital structuredrivers 738 include debt/equity mix, risk, and access to financingconsiderations. Finally, dividends are driven by the dividend policy742.

In one embodiment, target values are set for the TRS 702, TEP 704,Capital Structure 736, and dividend 740 components of the hierarchy.Based on these values, the company can see exactly which value driversof the company's business are affected. In one embodiment, the hierarchyis provided as a static document. Alternatively, the hierarchy 700 maybe provided as a dynamic model that uses a top-down approach tocalculate target values for each of the drivers according to thespecified target values. In another embodiment, the hierarchy 700 may beprovided as a dynamic model that receives input values for each of thedrivers and generates the TRS 702, TEP 704, EP 708 and FV of EP 710values in accordance with the inputs. The hierarchy 700 may be furtherprovided as an integrated solution and coupled with the company'sfinancial and accounting systems to incorporate the most current datainto the calculation of driver targets. The hierarchy 700 mayalternatively, or in addition, be provided as an marketing tool forselling goods or services related to any of the value drivers in thehierarchy.

In still another embodiment, an FV multiples methodology 446 is used toanalyze a company's investments in the drivers of FV 416 to suggestinvestment strategies that may maximize FV 416. In one embodiment, theFV multiples methodology includes capitalizing operational expenses forat least one business unit of the company to determine unique return oninvestment relationship between FV and the business unit (FV ROI). Thisratio may be referred to as an FV multiple. In other words, the FVmultiples methodology 446 may be used to determine whether the market isrewarding the company for investing in a particular business unit.

Referring also to FIG. 8, an exemplary chart 800 for detailing the FVROI for various business units of a company is shown. The chart 800includes a plurality of data points 802 that represent the FV ROIC for aparticular business unit. Data points 802 are representative of thetotal FV 416 of the company divided by operating investment in thebusiness unit 804 (FV/OP_(inv)), as well as the total amount of theoperating investment 806 (OP_(inv)). In the upper left quadrant 810 aredata points 802 that indicate small investments that are earning a highFV ROI. Investments represented by these data points 802 are beingrewarded by the market, and, in general, should be increased ifpossible. The bottom left quadrant 820 includes data points 802 thatindicate small investments having a low FV ROI. These data points 802are usually representative of cost focused operating investments. Thebottom right quadrant 830 includes large investments that are providinga poor FV ROI. Investments represented by these data points 802 mayindicate ineffective investments or an inefficient back office. Finally,the upper right quadrant 840 includes data points 802 indicative oflarge investments that are providing a positive FV ROI. Theseinvestments represent the ideal investments of the company in its FV416.

By establishing benchmark values 808 and 809 for FV/OP_(inv) 804 andOP_(inv) 806, respectively, the chart 800 may be divided into fourquadrants 810, 820, 830, and 840 that allow a user to quickly and easilydetermine the effectiveness of the operating investments. BenchmarkFIGS. 808 and 809 may be set to any value. For example, the FV/OP_(inv)benchmark 808 may be set to zero.

Historical FV ROI information, such as additional data points 802, mayalso be included in the chart 800. In the embodiment of FIG. 8, each setof data points 802 represents three years of FV ROI information for aparticular business unit of the company.

Additionally the FV multiples, or the FV ROI ratios, may be used todetermine investment strategies in either the CV 414 or FV 416 of thecompany. As described above, the EV 412 of the company comprises the CV414 and FV 416 of the company. Accordingly, one may increase the EV 412of the company by increasing either the CV 414 or the FV 416. The FVmultiples may be used to determine whether an investment should be madein either the CV 414 or FV 416.

In one example for determining where a company should invest resourcesto increase the total return to shareholders, assume company X has $1.00which it can either take as profit (investment in CV 414) or reinvestinto a business unit with an FV multiple of 15. Further assuming a taxrate of 40% and a WACC of 10%. Taking the $1.00 as profit, the companymust pay $0.40 in taxes, leaving a net income of $0.60, which may becapitalized to a CV 414 increase of $6.00. If the company was toreinvest the money into the business unit, the company would immediatelyrealize a 40% tax-credit, which may be capitalized to $4.00.Additionally, the company would realize a $15.00 ($1.00×15) return oninvestment, for a total increase in FV 416 of $19.00. Using theseprinciples, company executives can determine the optimum balance of CV414 and FV 416 to increase the EV 412 of the company.

In additional embodiments, the various methodologies may be combined toprovide more sophisticated analysis of the FV 416. For example, theasset methodology 444 and the FV multiples methodology 446 can becombined to form a hierarchical representation of operating investmentsin FV 416. For example, the hierarchical representation may include anFV 416 component that includes various operating investment components.The operating investment components, in turn, may include associatedvalues and FV multiples, or FV ROIs. The hierarchical representation maythen be provided showing FV, the operating investment components, andthe associated values. A user may enter values for each of the operatinginvestment component, and the hierarchical representation mayautomatically calculate the FV based on the operating investment values.It should be apparent to one of ordinary skill in the art that othercombinations of methodologies for analyzing the FV 416 of a company arealso contemplated herein.

Referring now to FIG. 4C, an exemplary visualization for displaying aTRS map 400 is shown. In the embodiment of FIG. 4C, a bar graph is usedto visually convey the various components of a TRS map 400 to a user,and may be used to explain the TRS 402 for a particular period of time.For example, assume a company had a TRS 402 of $14,284 for a givenperiod while paying $1000 in dividends 404 over that same period,resulting in a market value of equity 406 equal to $13,284. Furtherassuming a market value of debt 408 for the company of $9,184, the totalmarket value of the company may be calculated at $22,467. Subtractingany excess cash 411 for the period leaves an enterprise value 412 of$21,731. If the company has an invested capital 420 of $12,276 andEP/WACC of ($2301), it can be calculated that the company's equity value412 includes $9,974 of CV 414 and $11,757 of FV 416. Using the FVpremium methodology 440, one can determine that the various componentsof FV 416 include a first portion 450 of $2,301 based on the expectationthat the company will reach a breakeven economic profit, a secondportion 452 of $8,010 based on an expected growth of the economygenerally, and a third portion 454 of $1,446 which represents anexpectation that the growth of the company will exceed that of theeconomy.

In FIGS. 5A-C an exemplary TRS statement detailing a Total EconomicProfit (TEP) 510 calculation is shown. TEP represents one metric forannualizing and managing current and future value that bridges the gapbetween internal performance metrics and external metrics such as TRS.The TEP 510 of a company may be defined to include economic profitportions attributable to the current year, future value, capitalcharges, financing, and the like, or any combination thereof. The TEP510 may be calculated for a given year, such as for tracking historicalperformance 520 of a company, or may be calculated for the enterprise asa whole. Additionally, change percentages 522 for the TEP may also becalculated. In one embodiment, the TEP 510 may also be used for targetsetting 530, described in more detail below with reference to FIGS. 5A,5B and 5C, and in another embodiment with reference FIG. 9.

In the embodiment of FIGS. 5A-C, the TEP 510 is calculated by adding anEP 502 component, an invested capital charge 504, an EP of FV component504, and an EP of financing component 504. The EP 502 component defineseconomic profit for the current value of the company for the givenperiod, and may be calculated by multiplying the invested capital 540 ofa company by its WACC 542 and subtracting the resultant value fromcompany's NOPLAT 544. The invested capital charge 504 may be calculatedby multiplying the company's invested capital 540 by the company's WACC542. The Economic Profit of Future Value (EP of FV) 506 represents theeconomic profit of future value component 510 and may be calculated bymultiplying the FV 546 of the company by its WACC 542. Optionally, theEP of finance 508 represents the portion of EP attributable to thecompany's financing arrangements. In one embodiment, the EP of finance508 may be calculated by multiplying the dividends 548 paid for theperiod by the total number of outstanding shares 550 and dividing theresultant value by the company's WACC 542, such that the EP of finance508=(Dividends per Share*Outstanding Shares)*WACC/WACC. Finally, the TEP510 is calculated by adding the EP of CV 502, the capital charge 504,the EP of FV 506, and the EP of finance 510, so that the a capitalizedchange in TEP for a given period is equal to the TRS for that period.

The TEP can then be used to calculate the TRS for a given year. The TRSchange for a given period can be calculated in dollars by calculatingthe change in TEP for the period (TEP at the end of the period minus TEPat the beginning of the period) and dividing the result by the WACC.Next, any change in debt is subtracted from the resultant value, andfinally the dividends are added, such that the TEP($)=(TEP2−TEP1)/WACC−Change in Debt+Dividends.

These calculations may also be represented as follows:

$\begin{matrix}{\mspace{79mu}{{{TRS}\;\$} = {{{MV}\; 2} - {{MV}\; 1} + {Dividends}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 1} \right) \\{\mspace{79mu}{{{{TRS}\mspace{14mu}\%} = {\left( {{{MV}\; 2} - {M\; V\; 1} + {Dividends}} \right)\text{/}{MV}\; 1*100}}{{{Where}\mspace{14mu}{MV}\; 2\mspace{14mu}{is}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{11mu}{market}\mspace{14mu}{value}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{equity}\mspace{14mu}{at}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{14mu}{end}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{14mu}{period}},{M\; V\; 1\mspace{14mu}{is}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{14mu}{market}\mspace{14mu}{value}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{equity}\mspace{14mu}{at}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{14mu}{beginning}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{14mu}{period}\mspace{14mu}{and}\mspace{14mu}{dividends}\mspace{14mu}{are}\mspace{14mu}{issued}\mspace{14mu}{during}\mspace{14mu}{the}\mspace{14mu}{{period}.}}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 2} \right) \\{\mspace{79mu}{{EP} = {{{NOPLAT} - \left( {{Capital}*{WACC}} \right)} = {{EP}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{CV}}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 3} \right) \\{\mspace{79mu}{{CV} = {{{NOPLAT}/{WACC}} = {{Capital}\; + {{EP}\text{/}{WACC}}}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 4} \right) \\{\mspace{79mu}{{MV} = {{{Equity} + {Debt}} = {{{EV} + {{excess}\mspace{14mu}{cash}}} = {{cv} + {fv} + {{excess}\mspace{14mu}{cash}}}}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 5} \right) \\{\mspace{76mu}{{EV} = {{{equity} + {Debt} - {{excess}\mspace{14mu}{cash}}} = {{mv} - {{excess}\mspace{14mu}{cash}}}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 6} \right) \\{\mspace{79mu}{{FV} = {{{EV} - {CV}} = {{{Equity} + {Debt} - {{EP}\text{/}{WACC}} - {captial} - {{excess}\mspace{14mu}{cash}}} = {{Equity} + {Debt} - {{NOPLAT}\text{/}{WACC}} - {{excess}\mspace{14mu}{cash}}}}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 7} \right) \\{{{EP}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{FV}} = {{FV}*{WACC}\mspace{14mu}\left( {{Decapitalizing}\mspace{14mu}{Future}\mspace{14mu}{Value}} \right)}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 8} \right) \\{{TEP} = {{{Capital}*{Wacc}} + {{EP}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{CV}} + {{EP}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{FV}} + {{EP}\mspace{11mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{Financing}}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 9} \right) \\{\mspace{79mu}{{TRS} = {\left( {{{TEP}\;{2/{WACC}}\; 2} - {{TEP}\;{1/{WACC}}}} \right) - 1}}} & \left( {{Eq}.\mspace{14mu} 10} \right)\end{matrix}$

Using annual TRS calculations allows a company to set target TRS valuesand decompose the TRS target (or shareholder expected returns) intovalues for Operating Capital and performance (CV), Growth (FV), andFinancing. These additional values can then be further broken down, asdescribed below. Indexing can be used to show performance in absoluteand relative terms.

The Total Return to Shareholder (TRS) Statement 500, as depicted inFIGS. 5A and 5B, is useful as a displayed component of a software toolfor analyzing a company's past performance in comparison with a targetshareholder return, and for setting future performance goals to achievefuture shareholder targets. As between an earlier first time period(e.g., Year 2002) and a later second time period 9e.g., Year 2003),historical financial data 520 for the two time periods may be downloadedand received into the software tool for generating and displaying theTRS Statement 500. From this historical data, a shareholder return maybe calculated in accordance with the equations above. The software toolmay receive target input variables including NOPLAT Growth rate andtarget shareholder return. These target input variables may be appliedto the historical data for the earlier first time period to calculatewith the data processor executing the software containing the TRSequations a set of predicted financial data for the second time period.The historical financial data of the second period may be compared withthe predicted financial data to determine a variance between the two. Byanalyzing the sources of the variance, the under or over achievements ofdifferent business components of the company may be revealed. Thus,investments in those business components may be adjusted to optimize thecapital invested to obtain the predicted target return to shareholdersin future periods. The calculated returns may be adjusted for overallmarket growth or growth in a portion of the market relevant to thecompany by inputting an appropriate index, such as GDP, into thesoftware tool. Other target variables may be input into the softwaretool to accommodate additional manipulations to the target settinganalysis, such as target WACC and Dividends to allow adjustments incorporate financing to be reflected in the predicted shareholderreturns.

An exemplary TRS target worksheet using the TEP metric is shown in FIG.6. Although the exemplary TRS worksheet of FIG. 6 contemplates TRStarget setting, it should be apparent to one of ordinary skill in theart that a similar worksheet could be used to track historicalperformance of a company's TRS as well. Initially, a desired growth rate602, dividend payment percentage 604, and debt/equity ratio 606 areestablished. In the example of FIG. 6, the company desires a ten percentgrowth rate 602, a five percent dividend payment 604, and a debt/equityratio 606 of forty percent. Target TRS percentage changes 610 are thenestablished for each of the desired year based on the growth percentage602. Next, the TRS percentage changes 610 are converted to TRS dollaramount changes 612 for each year. The dividend targets 614 arecalculated based on the desired dividend rate 604. Finally, the equity616 and debt 618 values are calculated as a function of the desireddebt/equity ratio 606. As the cost of equity (ke) is embedded in theWACC, setting a TRS target=ke assures meeting investor expectations ie.equity growth at ke.

From these values, the equations described above can be used toestablish target values for additional performance metrics. Theseinclude targets for EV 620, EP of CV 622, FV 624, EP 626, EP of FV 628,and TEP 630. Finally, the annual TRS dollar change 632 can be calculatedas a function of the TEP targets 630 to verify the calculations. Thesetargets can then be decomposed further into targets for the drivers ofeach of these metrics to help the company reach these targets.

In another embodiment, the invention may include a software tooldisplaying a template to assist a user in planning the TRS targets for acompany. As shown in FIGS. 9A-9C, a software tool may generate anddisplay a TRS Target Setting template 900 that includes three areasmapping the TRS financial performance metrics. A first area 910 of thetemplate displays financial performance measures for a past time period,for example year end 2003, as shown. These financial performancemeasures include share price 912, number of shares 914, market value ofequity 916, market value of debt 918, enterprise value 920, currentvalue 922, future value 924, NOPLAT (or NOPAT as shown) 926, Capital928, WACC 930 and Economic Profit 932. The template positions thesefinancial performance measures in the same hierarchy or stratum as inthe TRS Map shown in FIGS. 4A and 4B. On the template, the followingfinancial performance measures may be configured as numerical inputfields to allow the software tool to receive the measures from directuser input: number of shares 914, market value of equity 916, marketvalue of debt 918, NOPAT 926, Capital 928, WACC 930 and EP 932.Alternatively, the measures may be uploaded from other data stores ormemory locations where the data was previously input by others. Thevalues EV 920, CV 922 and FV 924 are calculated based on the valuesinput into the above fields in accordance with the equations notedabove. For simplicity, this embodiment is illustrated with excess cashassumed to be zero.

A second area 950 of the template 900 displays predicted financialperformance measures for a future time period, for example year end2004, as shown. The same financial performance measures displayed in thefirst area 900 for the first time period are displayed in the secondarea 950 for the second time period. In contrast to the first area,these financial performance measures in the second area are calculatedbased on the values from the first period and three additional datainputs for the second period: the dividends per share 952 (oralternatively a dividend rate 954), a Target TRS growth 956 and a TargetNOPAT growth 958. This data may be input by a user into active numericalentry fields in the template or uploaded or received from other datasources.

From these few input targets, the predicted financial performancemeasures making up the components of shareholder return may becalculated and displayed in the second area 950. Second period NOPAT iscalculated as the first period NOPAT*Target NOPAT growth. The secondperiod capital is calculated as first period capital+second periodNOPAT−(Dividends*No. Shares). The second period Economic profit (EP) iscalculated as second period NOPAT−(second period Capital*WACC). Thesecond period Current Value (CV) is calculated as second periodNOPAT/WACC. The predicted EV for the second time period is calculated asthe first period EV*Target TRS−(Dividend*Number of Shares). The secondperiod Future Value (FV) is calculated as second period EV−second periodCV. The second period Market Value of Debt is calculated as first periodMarket Value of Debt*Target TRS. The second period market Value ofEquity is calculated as second period EV−second period Market Value ofDebt. The share price is calculated as second period Market of Equitydivided by Number of Shares.

A third area 960 of the template 900 displays the change in thefinancial performance measures displayed in the first time period to thesecond time period. The change is displayed in both absolute terms andin percentage terms. These measures are calculated based on thedifference of the values from the first and second time periods.

Below the TRS Mapped financial components of each area 910, 950 and 960,the components of the Total Economic Profit (TEP) Calculation aredisplayed. Here, TEP 942 is the sum of the Economic Profit (EP) 934,Invested Capital Charge 936, Economic Profit of Future Value (EP of FV)938 and EP of Finance 940. The differences of the TEP calculation fromthe first period to the second period are displayed in the third area960. As a verification of the validity of the data entry, the change inTEP should be confirmed to be equal to the target TRS.

With few data inputs the template allows a user to set targets for TRSand NOPAT growth and to immediately view the effect on the predicted TRScomponents in the second time period. As shown in FIG. 9, setting a 20%return to shareholders and a 6% growth in NOPAT, the EP decreases 5%,Capital increases 22.5% and EP of FV increases 40.7%. Thus, the highershareholder returns at the lower earnings growth must be achievedthrough dramatic increases in future value of the company. This targetsetting planning can assist a user in determining where the futuregrowth must be achieved to attain the targeted growth and returns. Fromthat analysis, a user can then examine the future value drivers in thecompany, as shown in FIG. 7, and plan where to invest capital to achievethe growth in predicted future value to support the targeted shareholderreturns.

As noted above, the decomposition and mapping of the current and futurevalue components of the total return to shareholders along withassociated business processes or business components that drive thosevalues provides valuable software tools for use in analyzing businessperformance and in managing the operation of those business components.As used herein, a business component may be an organizationalsub-division of a company or enterprise. A business component also maybe a business process within an enterprise that may be analyzed as anindependent operation from a financial perspective.

In one embodiment, for example, a software tool may be provided on alaptop computer for use by a business consultant. In person-to-personinterviews with a client, financial data may be input into a computerhaving a spreadsheet programmed to perform the calculations noted above.The spreadsheet may execute the calculations and presently generatereports on the display of the laptop for review by the consultant andclient. The decomposition of shareholder value into component parts maydisplayed in graphical hierarchical maps that provide powerfuldepictions of hypothetical scenarios of the effect that drivers ofbusiness components have on current and future enterprise values.

In another embodiment, the program executing the calculations may beresident on computer-readable medium in a server in communication with aprivately accessible data communication network, such as the internet ora WAN. The program may be accessed through a computer having a browserbased interface to implement the same scenario identified above, orscenarios identified below.

Using the above spreadsheet or similarly programmed software toolimplementing the method of this invention, one may quickly identifybusiness component values that under perform industry benchmarks orcorporate targets. The identified components may be candidates forfurther analysis to determine whether technology solutions may beprovided to raise performance standards and enhance shareholder value.The spreadsheet or other software tool may include a library of standardtechnology solutions associated with each business component. Suchsolutions may be displayed or included in a report generated thatdescribes the identified underperforming component and solutions thatrequire further analysis for implementation to achieve benchmark orother target performance.

In yet another embodiment, the invention may be implemented in anenterprise as part of the business management software. A computer incommunication with the financial accounting system may import financialdata representative of the performance of a plurality of businesscomponents. The financial data may be manipulated to correspond withbusiness components according to a map of business components identifiedas driving current or future value of shareholder returns. The financialdata may then be analyzed in accordance with this invention to determineand display the expected actual shareholder return driven by the actualperformance. Such data may be graphically displayed in a hierarchicalmap, or in the form of an executive dashboard. The actual performancefinancial data may be displayed along side with target values forvarious business component values. Colors, such as green, yellow, orred, for example, may be used to identify the relative performance, suchas above, below, or greatly below target values assigned to individualbusiness components. Additionally, acceptable tolerances for eachbusiness component target value may be established and reflected in thedisplay. Such tools may be useful when integrated as monitoring toolsinto the business performance management frameworks, such as describedin association with FIGS. 2 and 3.

In still another embodiment, the invention may be implemented in theform of a financial data provider. A database containing a historicalstore of financial data of corporation may be in communication on apublicly accessible network. For a fee, financial analysts may accesssuch data and, using the software tools with on their own systems or ona server dedicated to this database, the financial analysts may map thecomponents of shareholder value across broad swaths of industrysegments. Also, the financial analysts may focus on a specific industryto determine industry benchmarks of component values. Those componentbenchmarks may be applied to generate financial report maps used forcomparison purposes in making investment decisions with a specificcompany. Alternatively, the benchmarks may be used for comparison toidentify which business components within a company are underperformingcompetitors, to enable business mangers to determine which businesscomponents require additional resources to maintain competitiveperformance levels.

In an alternative embodiment, the invention may be implemented in theform of target setting, forecasting, and budgeting tools in whichtargets are selected at a high level of management through a process ofstrategic planning to select targets based on a combination of value,such as TRS value for example, expected to be added and manageability ofthe candidate targets. In one embodiment, computer simulations of, interalia, increased cash flows expected by the target strategies. Thesetargets may then be flowed down to the various levels of management,budgets may be constructed around those target strategies, and thebudgets may be consolidated and flowed upward. Alternatively, oradditionally, the system may be used to increase shareholder value byimproving forecasting abilities through the use of graphicalrepresentations of performance metrics of similarly situated companiesin order to identify realistic value enhancing business strategies asgoals for the organization. Exemplary systems of these types includethose described in U.S. Patent Publication Nos. 2004/0073441 A1 and2004/0073477 A1, both to Heyns et al., the entire disclosures of whichare hereby incorporated by reference.

In still another embodiment, the invention may be implemented in asystem for automatically examining a company's financial data andevaluating factors affecting the company's stock value. The system may,for example, evaluate a company's spread through that company's debt andequity costs and measure returns to investors from company growth, whichmay be either organic growth or growth through mergers and acquisitions.The system may also evaluate the financial data of other publicly tradedcompanies, such as those in the same industry, and compares the variousfactors affecting stock value. The system may also include tools fordetermining the return to investors, such as a software-basedapplication that collects receives financial data and uses thisinformation to calculate the return to inventor through the company'sspreads and growth. An exemplary systems of these types include thosedescribed in U.S. Patent Publication Nos. 2005/0004832 A1, to Ostergardet al., the entire disclosure of which is hereby incorporated byreference.

Based on the teachings described herein, others of ordinary skill in theart will appreciate other applications of the system, apparatus andmethods in accordance with this invention. Accordingly, it is thereforeintended that the foregoing detailed description be regarded asillustrative rather than limiting, and that it be understood that it isthe following claims, including all equivalents, that are intended todefine the spirit and scope of this invention.

1. A computer-implemented method that predicts financial performancemeasures of a company, the method comprising: displaying, byinstructions stored in a non-transitory computer-readable memory andexecuted by a processor coupled to the memory a computer user interface,on the computer user interface a financial performance templatecomprising template areas: a first template area including historicalperformance measures for a first time period; a second template areaincluding predicted performance measures for a second time period; and athird template area including a change in financial performance measuresfrom the first time period to the second time period, where the firstperiod precedes the second time period; each of the template areasdisplaying financial performance measures comprising Net OperatingProfit After Tax (NOPAT), Capital, Weighted Average Cost of Capital(WACC), Economic Profit (EP), Current Value (CV), Future Value (FV),Enterprise Value (EV), Market Value of Equity, Market Value of Debt,number of company shares, and share price; receiving, into the memorycoupled to the processor, the values for the first time period for thehistoric performance measures of NOPAT, Capital, WACC, EP, Market Valueof Equity, Market Value of Debt, and either number of company shares orshare price; calculating, by the processor, for the first time periodthe Enterprise Value, the Current Value and the Future Value based onthe received historic performance measures, wherein the Enterprise Valueis the Market Value of Equity plus the Market Value of Debt, the CurrentValue is the NOPAT divided by the WACC, and the Future Value is theEnterprise Value minus the Current Value; receiving, into the memory,the values for the second time period for the target performancemeasures of Target Total Return to Shareholder (TRS), Target DividendPer Share and Target NOPAT Growth; calculating, by the processor, forthe second time period the predicted performance measures based on thereceived historic performance measures and the target performancemeasures, wherein for the second time period the predicted performancemeasure of Enterprise Value is calculated by the equation:second period EV=(first period EV*Target TRS)−(target Dividend PerShare*Number of Shares), wherein for the second time period thepredicted performance measure of Share Price is calculated by theequation:second period Share Price=(second period EV−(first period Market Valueof Debt*Target TRS))/(Number of Shares), wherein for the second timeperiod the predicted performance measures are calculated by theequations:second period NOPAT=(first period NOPAT*Target NOPAT Growth);  (a)second period Capital=first period capital+second period NOPAT−(targetDividends Per Share*Number of Shares);  (b)second period Economic Profit=second period NOPAT−(second periodCapital*WACC),  (c)second period Enterprise Value (EV)=(first period EV*Target TRS)−(targetDividend Per Share*Number of Shares);  (d)second period Current Value (CV)=(second period NOPAT/WACC); and  (e)second period Future Value=second period EV−second period CV;  (f)calculating, by the processor, the change in the performance measuresfrom the first period to the second period as a performance variance bycomparing the second time period with the first period for an EconomicProfit of Future Value (EPFV) and a Total Economic Profit (TEP) anddisplaying the result in the third template area; and adjustingrecursively, by the instructions executed by the processor, at least oneof the target input variables for a future time period until apercentage change in the target TRS displayed in the second templatearea is equal to a user selectable target TRS value.
 2. Thecomputer-implemented method of claim 1, wherein for each of the firstand second time periods calculating by the computer the Total EconomicProfit (TEP) for the period according to the equation:TEP=Economic Profit+Invested Capital Charge+Economic Profit of FutureValue (EPFV)+Total Dividends Paid; wherein Invested CapitalCharge=Capital*WACC, and EPFV=FV*WACC.
 3. The computer-implementedmethod of claim 2, further comprising calculating, by the processor, apercentage change in the TEP from the first period to the second periodand determining whether the change in TEP is equal to the receivedTarget TRS.
 4. The computer-implemented method of claim 1, furthercomprising establishing, by the processor, incremental revenue drivers,future invested capital drivers and incremental cost drivers of companyoperations expected to obtain the predicted EP and EPFV, wherein theincremental revenue drivers include volume, price, product mix, customerretention, brand equity and the breadth/depth of the company's productportfolio, wherein the incremental cost drivers include advertising,training costs, and management talent considerations, and wherein thefuture invested capital drivers include intellectual capital, technologyinvestments, and capital flexibility.